The NFP is an economic data that represents the employment figures in the USA. As you might imagine, a fall in this figure is bad for the US economy because it means more people are unemployed. This increased level of unemployment could dip the economy in many ways. One of them is that fewer people would pay taxes, and less income goes into the US Federal Reserve. So when the news was released, the USD weakened across many major currency pairs.

If the actual value was close to the forecasted value, the market might have been able to absorb the little gap and move on as if nothing happened. Maybe a brief spike in volatility would be recorded across USD currency pairs. But the large difference meant things were worse than expected, so traders sold the USD.

The effect is evident on the EURUSD chart above. This might be the strategy for you if you know nothing about interpreting the news but hope to profit from trading it. The breakout forex news trading strategy allows you to prepare for a breakout in either direction without worrying about what the news says. Here is how you do it. FOREX is an over-the-counter OTC.

Most of the traders operate in the futures market unless they work for a firm that processes massive amounts of. If you are racking your brains to know what makes successful day traders, then this article is an ultimate guide for you. Becoming a successful day trader is an art and you should make use. Trading the news guide to Forex fundamentals. April 19, Fundamental Analysis No Comments Tags: how to trade the news , trade news , trade the news , trading the news.

Yes there is a way. What is fundamental analysis? Fundamental analysis can be thought of as the approach to analyzing a financial instrument using macroeconomic factors,such as business health, taxes, gross domestic product, unemployment rates, interest rates and socio-political stability. How to determine which news events to trade? Where to find the news. Three top sources to find news releases are listed below: www. com www. com For more valuable trading resource click here.

Understanding the news The structure of news releases, although differing based on the news source. Currency : This indicates which currency the news release will affect the most Name of event : Description of the news event Impact : This is an indicator of the potential impact that the news event has on price. News traders are concerned about the 3 values as shown below, namely: Actual Forecast Previous Lets investigate what each number means and represents Actual: The actual value is the number that was actually released at the time of the news release.

Trading using fundamental analysis Every News event reacts differently on every chart. Step 1: Identify a news event you want to analyze Remember that the news event that are high impact or red have the highest probability of moving the market. Step 2: Analyze the feasibility of the news event This is done by analyzing the difference between the historical actual and historical expected price and looking at a specific currency pair change in pips at the time of the news release.

view video here for various methods on trading the news This is a lot of work, but then again you will only need to do it once and then every month you can update your list.

Step 3: Trade the news event Once you have decided that a specific news event is worth trading on a specific currency pair, then it is time to trade that news event. There are 2 methods of trading a news event, namely: Pre-entry; and Post-entry. Pre-entry Pre-entry means that you enter the market before the news events actually happens. PROS: If correct, you could potentially gather maximum profits of a move.

CONS: Maximum risk exposure, and potential of sudden loss to your trading capital. Makes this method highly unpopular amongst fundamental traders. The more common way of trading forex fundamentals is: Post Entry Post-Entry Post entry refers to entering the market after the news release.

PROS Once the economic data is available, you will be able to determine if it is worth entering the trade or not. Most major news events can retrace back to their original positions. Therefore there is a potential setup. Pitfalls of trading the news Spread There are occasions during the release of news when the broker will increase spread for a short period of time. How is this done? Greed The forex market is traded by humans, and the potential for massive gains in a short period of time can entice many traders to forgo risk management and risk far more during news events than they can afford to lose.

Lets look at the USDJPY example How to determine if a news event has already been priced into the market Often a times the news has been priced into the market. For more valuable trading resources click here Happy Trading. Share on facebook Facebook. Share on twitter Twitter. So, as currencies of nations with strong fundamentals appreciate way beyond their equilibrium value, we will have another contrarian trade opportunity for shorting their currencies. Another important part of the fundamental analysis consists ofpolitical and geopolitical events that surround a currency pair.

These events can change the balance between two currencies so aggressively that it is worth keeping an eye on what their impact might be. The recent referendum in the United Kingdom offers us the perfect example of a political event that changes the way currencies are valued. If a currency pair is in a strong uptrend or downtrend this is a summary of the two economies presented in the form of a trend.

The actual trend analysis of a currency pair would take very little time, using some simpleforex trend indicators. So by looking at the larger forex trends and time frames, you are actually conducting a forex fundamental analysis of a currency, without looking at any economic data. If the British Pound is strong against all currencies how much fundamental data do you need to know that the British economy is strong?? Similarly, by following these values the trader can form an opinion on where the interest rates will go.

Once we understand the policies of global central banks, we must compare these policies with their precursors, and decide on their possible impact on the global economy. Fundamentally, if a country or currency region raises its interest rates and has strong monetary policy, the currency of that country will strengthen.

Also if a country or currency region is lowering interest rates that individual currency could be weak. One of the main reasons why I and all of my members prefer to trade primarily with technical analysis is because there are literally millions of different variables in the world that can affect financial markets at any one time.

The Brexit vote for the United Kingdom to leave the European Union had a tremendous impact on the British Pound, such that it lost in value virtually overnight. It is not only the GBP currency pairs that moved, though, as correlations influenced trading as well. The best approach for forex traders is to do a thorough trend analysis of the entire market, or in the case of Forexearlywarning traders this would be to conduct a multiple time frame analysis for 28 pairs, by individual currency.

Then a trader can incorporate forex fundamental analysis into the trend analysis.

Jun 07 0. Investors always want to learn how to trade forex fundamental news. Fundamental news will give them details on whether the value of the dollar is going up or down.

Just like many indicators that stock investors use to track the health of companies, there are many economic reports that provide insight into the future value of the US dollar. Download how to trade forex fundamental news PDF. Fundamental analysis involves using data to discern information about forex investing. The strength of the economy or currency provided by these data will be of varying importance. Some notable macroeconomic indicators will be listed below.

Remember, the actual statistics are often less important than its trend meaning whether it is up or down , the success or failure of an indicator is the fulfillment of expectations prior to its release. A bullish surprise can bring good news, while a bearish surprise can cause the dollar to fall. If you want to trade forex successfully, you should notice the following fundamental news.

They play a great role in deciding where the market is heading. This information is released quarterly at 1. The current account balance measures U. trade in goods and services and includes income from overseas investments and payments to entities abroad. A positive value current account surplus indicates that capital inflows from these components into the US exceed capital leaving the country more money coming in than leaving the country.

A negative value current account deficit means there is a net inflow of capital from these sources more money leaving the country than coming in. Increasing the long-term current account deficit can have a negative impact on the US dollar as it affects the likelihood of future rate hikes if the economy doesn't do well. This information is released at 1. The balance of trade shows the difference between US exports and imports of goods and services.

A positive equilibrium is called a trade surplus if there are more exports than imports of goods and services. A negative balance is called a trade deficit or, if imports are more than exports. The long-term effects of a worsening trade balance put downward pressure on the US dollar.

This information is released monthly at 1. CPI is often considered a measure of inflation of the US economy. The rapid rise in the value of CPI figures could prompt the central bank to respond by raising interest rates.

An increase in interest rates usually increases the value of a country's currency, but it can negatively impact the stock market in the short term. This is because some investors may decide to keep their deposits as cash to earn interest instead of investing in the market.

PPI measures the change in prices of factory-made goods. A rapidly rising PPI is considered inflationary and can lower bond prices and raise long-term interest rates. The impact on the US dollar and US stocks is often ambiguous and must be read in conjunction with other economic data releases.

This is a Forex news Statistical Monthly Survey of Nonfarm Payroll Employment across the United States and one of the most important and closely watched economic releases in the world. If the numbers rise, interest rates and the US dollar will generally rise. If the data is weak then interest rates and the dollar will usually fall.

This is the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time in the past week. This is the earliest US economic data. If jobless claims rise, you can expect the stock market and the US dollar to fall in value. This information is extremely important, released quarterly at 1.

Gross domestic product GDP is one of the main indicators used to gauge the health of a national economy. If US GDP is positive, it is expected that the US dollar will increase as the economy strengthens. How to predict forex news direction pdf. In addition to the above 7 types of forex news, there are many other important news, including inflation reports, home sales and buying US Treasuries.

This news also affects the US dollar. The government plays an important role in the strength of the dollar, as foreign investors see signs of stability and prosperity. Stable policy, stable politics and tax cuts for consumers are all positives for the dollar. On the other hand, terrorist attacks, wars, increased government spending are all bad news for the country and the dollar. Developments in other countries are also taken into consideration, as factors such as the appreciation of the euro or a decrease in foreign currency reserves the dollar is held by other countries are bad news for the dollar, while instability abroad is good news for the dollar.

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Current Account Balance This information is released quarterly at 1. Trade Balance This information is released at 1. Consumer Price Index CPI This information is released monthly at 1. Producer Price Index PPI This information is released monthly at 1. Non-farm Payrolls This information is released monthly at 1.

Unemployment claims This information is released weekly at 1. Gross Domestic Product GDP This information is extremely important, released quarterly at 1. How to predict forex news direction pdf Conclusion In addition to the above 7 types of forex news, there are many other important news, including inflation reports, home sales and buying US Treasuries. BRKV Dec 25 BRKV Dec 19 Load More.

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Load More. Assumption 2: Prices move in trends Technical analysis is based on a major concept — market trends. Get a PDF version. most well known lagging indicators are the MACD, Parabolic SAR, and Bollinger Bands. Fundamental news will give them details on whether the value of the dollar is going up or down.

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